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Updated 2030 Allowances Price and GHG Emissions Forecast for WCI Carbon Market

October 5, 2018Created By: Abhilasha Fullonton

CaliforniaCarbon.info analysts have used time-series econometrics to generate a 2030 allowance price forecast and emissions in the California-Quebec carbon market. This report is a follow-up to our previous 2030 price and emissions forecast. Along with an updated 2030 emissions and price forecast the report incorporates regulatory updates that have shaped the market in the…...

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Short-term offset issuance forecast update

September 18, 2018Created By: Emily Jackson

Forestry issuances this quarter now total just over 3 million CCOs, following the issuance of 100k CCOs last week. There remain over 5.5 million forestry credits predicted to be issued in September, including 1.4million credits from Finite Carbon’s Colville IFM (ACR255) and 1.7 million credits from Bluesource’s Allegheny Improved Forest…...

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Secondary Market Digest – August 2018

September 6, 2018Created By: Abhilasha Fullonton

A summary of a comprehensive analytical and statistical breakdown showcasing the monthly trends in the market for CCA’s: There was a noticeable hike in both trades and open interest under Sep18 which is the current post-auction delivery In August, volume totaled to be 57.2 million tons Vibration analysis also suggests…...

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After-Auction Review – August, 2018

September 3, 2018Created By: Abhilasha Fullonton

A wide-ranging statistical breakdown of trends and observations from the Western Climate Initiative Joint Auction 16. Download report (PDF) Related posts: After-Auction Review – May, 2018 After-Auction Review – February, 2018 After-Auction Review – August, 2016 After-Auction Review – August, 2017...

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Short-term offset issuance forecast update

August 29, 2018Created By: Emily Jackson

Forestry Projects received 236k CCOs last week, taking the total issued for the quarter up to 2.94 million. We expect a further 5.76 million forestry CCO issuances in September. This includes 1.4million credits from Finite Carbon’s Colville IFM (ACR255) and 1.7 million credits from Bluesource’s Allegheny Improved Forest Management Project…...

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A fully subscribed Joint Auction 16 nullifies any negative impact of Ontario’s exit

August 21, 2018Created By: Abhilasha Fullonton

CaliforniaCarbon.info, Aug 21, 2018: Summary: WCI’s sixteenth Joint Auction (Current Auction) has cleared for the sixth consecutive time at a settlement price of USD 15.05. The settlement price for the Advance Auction was USD 14.90. The current auction cleared with a bid-to-cover ratio of 1.22. The advanced auction was also fully subscribed at a bid-to-cover ratio of…...

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Exclusive Interview: Craig Ebert, President of CAR, discusses grassland conservation and future offset use in Canada and California

August 20, 2018Created By: Emily Jackson

Grasslands have a high potential to sequester carbon, indeed recent studies indicate even more so than forests. The conversion of grasslands to croplands therefore can cause detrimental environmental impacts. The Climate Action Reserve (CAR) supports grassland conservation with their Grassland Project Protocol, providing the opportunity to earn offset credits for the…...

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Short-term Offset Issuance Forecast Update

August 15, 2018Created By: Emily Jackson

Last week saw the first forestry issuances of Q3 2018, totaling 2.7million CCOs. This included issuanes to Forest Carbon Partner’s Montesol-FCP IFM (CAR1102) and Green Assets – Milbury Avoided Conversion Project (ACR266), whose credits we initially predicted to be issued in Q1 2018. This slightly reduces the backlog of expected credits. We are…...

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StillwaterScope: Projecting the Costs of California’s Cap & Trade and Low Carbon Fuel Standard Programs

August 13, 2018Created By: Abhilasha Fullonton

StillwaterScope, the latest guest section in CaliforniaCarbon.info, will feature an in-depth look into the Low-Carbon Fuel Standard market in California provided by Stillwater Associates. This issue discusses the cost to consumers of carbon-              reduction programs working in tandem with cap-and-trade program like LCFS . This article…...

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Secondary Market Digest – July 2018

August 7, 2018Created By: Abhilasha Fullonton

A summary of a comprehensive analytical and statistical breakdown showcasing the monthly trends in the market for CCA’s: California Carbon Allowances (CCAs) remained steady throughout the first week of July after being safeguarded by ARB from potential fallout from Ontario’s decision to leave the WCI. Bid and ask differentials have…...

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